Multifamily Rents Poised For Robust Increases Further Ahead
September 11, 2023
For the past three years the multifamily sector has experienced a construction boom not seen since the 1970s, which has helped lead to the current moderation of rents.
However that may be about to change.
According to a new report by Greg Willett of Institutional Property Advisors, rents could resume an upward path by spring 2024, with “robust” increases in 2025.
A slowdown in early stage multifamily building showed up in 2Q 2023, with starts in key markets falling slightly. This was largely attributable to less access to development capital, Willett reported. The largest banks were holding back on real estate lending, while smaller banks shied away after the failure of regional lenders earlier in the year. In addition to the low rate of rent growth, capital sources were worried by rising operational expenses, especially insurance costs, that “soared above past norms.”
While more than one million apartment units are currently under construction in the U.S., they may not make a significant dent in the nation’s housing needs. About half the total construction pipeline is in 15 markets only, with 30,800 units being built. “That start volume is off 52% from the quarterly norm of 64,200 that was sustained for nine quarters from early 2021 through early 2023,” Willett noted. “Absolute peak quarterly starts totaled 81,500 units from April through June 2022.”
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However that may be about to change.
According to a new report by Greg Willett of Institutional Property Advisors, rents could resume an upward path by spring 2024, with “robust” increases in 2025.
A slowdown in early stage multifamily building showed up in 2Q 2023, with starts in key markets falling slightly. This was largely attributable to less access to development capital, Willett reported. The largest banks were holding back on real estate lending, while smaller banks shied away after the failure of regional lenders earlier in the year. In addition to the low rate of rent growth, capital sources were worried by rising operational expenses, especially insurance costs, that “soared above past norms.”
While more than one million apartment units are currently under construction in the U.S., they may not make a significant dent in the nation’s housing needs. About half the total construction pipeline is in 15 markets only, with 30,800 units being built. “That start volume is off 52% from the quarterly norm of 64,200 that was sustained for nine quarters from early 2021 through early 2023,” Willett noted. “Absolute peak quarterly starts totaled 81,500 units from April through June 2022.”
Read the full story in globeSt
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About Institutional Property Advisors (IPA)
Institutional Property Advisors (IPA) is a division of Marcus & Millichap (NYSE: MMI), a leading commercial real estate services firm in North America. IPA’s combination of real estate investment and capital markets expertise, industry-leading technology, and acclaimed research offer customized solutions for the acquisition, disposition and financing of institutional properties and portfolios. For more information, please visit www.institutionalpropertyadvisors.com.