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Market Report

Austin Multifamily Market Report

1Q 2026

Investment Confidence Building
Even as Some Demographic Tailwinds Ease

Vacancy declines as supply pressures recede. Austin’s rapid post-pandemic expansion has begun to moderate, signaling a shift toward more sustainable growth. Since 2020, the metro’s employment base has grown by about 25 percent, spread across sectors. This hiring surge spurred a 33 percent increase in apartment inventory from 2020 to 2025 — the fastest rate among major U.S. markets. However, both employment and construction activity are expected to slow in 2026. The tech sector, in particular, faces headwinds from infrastructure constraints and return-to-office mandates requiring employees to report to headquarters outside Texas, which may dampen renter demand. At the same time, a sharp pullback in deliveries should ease supply-side pressure, allowing demand to outpace new supply and further reduce metrowide vacancy. Northern suburbs such as Pflugerville and Round Rock, where vacancy hovered near 7 percent in late 2025, may benefit most from this dynamic. However, elevated construction activity should continue in submarkets such as San Marcos and Near North Austin, which may keep pressure on local vacancy rates.

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