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Market Report

Los Angeles Multifamily Investment Forecast

2020 Outlook

High Ownership Costs Sustain Rental Demand But Supply Additions Overwhelm

 

Tight conditions preserved amid wave of supply additions. In each of the previous three years rental demand in Los Angeles outpaced elevated levels of construction activity, compressing vacancy to a cycle-low level entering 2020. Limited unit availability occurs at an opportune time, as the county’s rental inventory will swell by an additional 14,000 units this year, the third largest total among major U.S. metros. While core Los Angeles continues to record the largest influx of new apartments, deliveries are more evenly distributed between Downtown Los Angeles, Mid-Wilshire and Hollywood than in previous years. Elsewhere, the San Fernando Valley will record a large increase of new units, welcoming more than 4,000 rentals, 40 percent of which are in Woodland Hills. Throughout the county, projects in lease up will benefit from steep home prices and income growth, but concessions usage will increase as developers seek to achieve stabilization in under a year. With solid demand drivers in place, the overall impact of cycle-high delivery volume will be moderate, with metro vacancy rising to 4.0 percent.

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