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Underlying Inflation Trend Supports Stable Rate Outlook and CRE Recovery
Temporary factors push inflation higher. Canada’s consumer price index rose 0.3 per cent in July, lifting the annual inflation rate back to 3 per cent. Higher gasoline prices accounted for roughly half of the monthly increase, while temporary pressures also emerged in communications, airfares, and travel services. FIFA World Cup activity contributed to higher travel-related costs, while the timing of promotional events likely influenced prices for household goods and textiles. These pockets of price pressures also pushed the Bank of Canada’s preferred core measures higher during the month. However, their average annual rate remained at the Bank’s 2 per cent target, suggesting underlying inflation pressures remain relatively contained.